Fed missed warning signs in 2007 as crisis gained steam

WASHINGTON, Mon Jan 21, 2013 — Top policymakers at the Federal Reserve felt for most of 2007 that problems in housing and banking were isolated and unlikely to tear down the U.S. economy as they ultimately did.

Even as crisis signals started flashing red with the freezing of credit markets during the summer, Fed officials believed the troubles would be moderate and short-lived, according to transcripts of the 2007 meetings released on Friday after the customary five-year lag.

 

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, then president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, said during an emergency telephone call on August 10 of that year that most of Wall Street was still doing fine.

“We have no indication that the major, more diversified institutions are facing any funding pressure,” Geithner said according to the transcripts, which total 1,370 pages. “In fact, some of them report what we classically see in a context like this, which is that money is flowing to them.”

Similarly, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke underestimated the risks of a looming financial blow-up.

“I do not expect insolvency or near insolvency among major financial institutions,” he said in December 2007.

By then, the Fed had already launched emergency liquidity measures and begun cutting interest rates, which by December 2008 would be brought all the way down to effectively zero.

MasterCard revenue misses as consumers rein in spending

PURCHASE, N.Y., Wed Aug 1, 2012 – MasterCard Inc.’s quarterly revenue missed Wall Street estimates as worldwide purchase volume growth slowed to its lowest level in five quarters, sending the credit and debit card network’s shares down 3 percent before the bell.
Net income rose to $700 million, or $5.55 per share, from $608 million, or $4.76 per share, a year earlier.
Revenue rose 9 percent to $1.82 billion. On a constant currency basis, revenue rose 13 percent.
The card network also took a pre-tax charge of $20 million, related to its share of the settlement in the ‘swipe fee’ lawsuit.
Excluding the charge, the company earned $5.65 per share.
Analysts on average had expected a profit of $5.58 per share, excluding items, on revenue of $1.87 billion according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
MasterCard, along with rival Visa Inc. and banks that issue their credit cards, agreed to a $7.25 billion settlement with U.S. retailers in a lawsuit over the fixing of debit and credit card fees.
MasterCard had already set aside $770 million to cover most of its $790 million liability.